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Special Report OGJ: China’s Refining Past-Present-Future

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    basil parmesan
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    There is good article in OGJ Mar 7, 2011 – in case you didn’t see it. A ‘Special Report: Capacity, complexity expansions characterize China’s Refining Industry past, present, future’.  <see article @ OGJ online website: @ http://www.ogj.com/index/article-display/1485701630/articles/oil-gas-journal/volume-109/issue-10/processing/special-report-capacity-complexity-expansions.html )
     
    Hawaii Researcher/Author Dr. Kang Wu (Sr fellow @ East-West Center seems have better sources on his China Refining update and very much better than OGJ 2011 WW Refining Survey but ….. still not “Kosher” on total coker capacity/values.
     
    Wu has at least 10 times the Coking charge and nearly double the Crude charge – which is good step in the right direction. Albeit a good portion of crude charge and about 1/3 of coker charge is from having good sense to include most of the Local/Independent Refineries Capacity in his totals.
     
    This years Jan 2011 OGJ WW Refining Capacity Survey only had 6.8MM BPD crude charge (~2005 range in Wu’s report) for 54 refineries (all but 4 were National Government owned Sinopec, PetroChina) with only ~8 of them having cokers for 156 MBPD total , which is a farce for true China Refinery Capacity values.
    I currently have nearly 82-89 cokers (still confirming some 2010 additions) with Yield Capacity of 39 MM mtpy Petcoke (I mostly track coker product) but only 19.8 MM mtpy Petcoke Production for 2010. <See prior coking.com News post on  Member Coker News: OGJ China Coker errors 1/26/11 & 12/12/10 Coker Errors and also on coking.com  Refinery News post OGJ WW Survey  Jan 2011 Capacity 12/12/10>
     
    Wu’s table is only showing ~1.3 MM BPD Capacity Coker charge – a long way from OGJ’s  0.156 MM BPD under-estimate but still somewhat short of true value. As Example OGJ US Coker Capacity numbers were 2.4 MM BPD charge (which is also too low) & has Petcoke Capacity yield of ~47 MM mtpy petcoke, so China Refineries should be more than just half US coker charge rate especially since China cokers have lighter overall coker charge than US with lower petcoke production).

     
    Regards

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